Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Nicolas Jarry		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.76	1.5
	2.6	1.5
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.14)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
36.4%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Jarry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nicolas Jarry - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tsitsipas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jarry won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Elias Ymer - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
31.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lukas Klein	Klein L. retired ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:3 ✺
28.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Milos Raonic	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
03.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicolas Jarry	2:1
ATP Halle
21.06.23	Nicolas Jarry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.23	Nicolas Jarry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicolas Jarry	1:2

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