Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Nicolas Jarry		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.9	1.26
	3.8	1.29
	4.27	1.27
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.68	1.28	Watch
	3.95	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3)	1.28 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
25.1%

Alex De Minaur
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Nicolas Jarry - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). De Minaur will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
29.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Luca Van Assche	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	Popyrin A. walkover ✺
14.08.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WW?WL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Yibing Wu - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
29.08.23	Timofey Skatov - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Alex De Minaur - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
13.08.23	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
26.02.19	Alex De Minaur - Nicolas Jarry	2:0

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