The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nicolas Mejia 35.3%
Luca Nardi 64.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
59.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
57%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.
Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
0%
70%
Nicolas Mejia - Luca Nardi Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Mejia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nardi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Watch
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