Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Nicolas Mejia		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.48	2.46
	1.57	2.58
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.55	2.45
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	2.43 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
61.5%

Hernan Casanova
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nicolas Mejia - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Casanova will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 165. Casanova is ranked ATP: 409.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mejia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Fermin Tenti	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Michael Zheng	1:3 ✺
29.06.26	Daniel Vallejo - Nicolas Mejia	1:3 ✺
25.06.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.05.22	Hernan Casanova - Nicolas Mejia	2:1
22.04.21	Hernan Casanova - Nicolas Mejia	0:2

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