Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canberra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nicolas Mejia		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

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Nicolas Mejia
45.8%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Mejia is ranked ATP: 170. Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 199.

Mejia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gueymard Wayenburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Alex Martinez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Matej Dodig - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Martin Damm - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	✺

Nicolas Mejia - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide