Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Altamura, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Altamura 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nicolas Parizzia		Matthew Donald

	1	2
	2.28	1.64
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (3.07)	1.59 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Parizzia
41.6%

Matthew Donald
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Parizzia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Parizzia's performance.

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Parizzia than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Parizzia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Parizzia - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parizzia is ranked ATP: 1106. Donald is ranked ATP: 588.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Donald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Donald is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Parizzia
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Alessandro Dragoni	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Felix Gill - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Maxime Janvier - Nicolas Parizzia	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Mika Petkovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Matthew Donald - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Mae Malige - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Kacper Knitter - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Nicolas Parizzia - Matthew Donald

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nicolas Parizzia - Matthew Donald Predictions

Preview

Form

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