Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rosbach, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rosbach 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Niels McDonald		Mariano Dedura-Palomero

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Niels McDonald
66.3%

Mariano Dedura-Palomero
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niels McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niels McDonald's form might have worsened.

Mariano Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Dedura-Palomero's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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McDonald is ranked ATP: 1014. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 1774.

McDonald is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, McDonald is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niels McDonald
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Niels McDonald - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Niels McDonald - Aaron James Williams	2:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Niels McDonald - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Mariano Dedura-Palomero
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Mariano Dedura-Palomero - Cruz Hewitt	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Mariano Dedura-Palomero - Jakub Nicod	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Mariano Dedura-Palomero - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	John Hallquist Lithen - Mariano Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Norbert Gombos - Mariano Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL

Niels McDonald - Mariano Dedura-Palomero