Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Nikola Bartunkova		Katarzyna Kawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3.13
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikola Bartunkova
67.8%

Katarzyna Kawa
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikola Bartunkova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarzyna Kawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nikola Bartunkova - Katarzyna Kawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bartunkova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 96. Kawa is ranked WTA: 161.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bartunkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bartunkova is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikola Bartunkova
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Caroline Werner - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Viktorija Golubic - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Caroline Dolehide - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Katarzyna Kawa
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
03.04.26	Panna Udvardy - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 L?LLW

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