Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 VILLENA (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday


	Nikolay Nedelchev		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	2.9	1.35
	3.2	1.34
	3	1.36
	3.18	1.32	Watch
	2.95	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.41)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolay Nedelchev
30.4%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolay Nedelchev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nikolay Nedelchev's form might have worsened.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolay Nedelchev than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nikolay Nedelchev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Nedelchev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merida Aguilar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nedelchev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Merida Aguilar will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Merida Aguilar to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolay Nedelchev
ITF Tournaments
22.02.24	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Nikolay Nedelchev	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	Nikolay Nedelchev - Andres Fernandez Canovas	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Michiel De Krom - Nikolay Nedelchev	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Nikolay Nedelchev - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Luka Mikrut - Nikolay Nedelchev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
22.02.24	Edas Butvilas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Nick Hardt - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	Tim Handel - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW

Nikolay Nedelchev - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide