Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Simongini F. (Ita)


	Vilius Gaubas		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.52	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.38
	1.56	2.38
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
59.8%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
21.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Terence Atmane - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
21.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Carlos Taberner - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.02.24	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2
14.11.23	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0
27.07.23	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1

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