Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Nikolay Vylegzhanin		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.17	1.67
	2.53	1.45	Watch
			Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.58	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.66)	1.55 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolay Vylegzhanin
39.6%

Alexey Vatutin
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikolay Vylegzhanin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexey Vatutin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vylegzhanin will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Vatutin will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vylegzhanin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 475. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 349.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vylegzhanin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Pierre Antoine Faut - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Mae Malige - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Louis Tessa	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide