Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Juge A. (Fra)


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.29	1.65
	2.28	1.65
	2.14	1.67	Watch
	2.36	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.73)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
40.5%

Alexander Ritschard
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Alexander Ritschard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Ritschard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Ritschard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ritschard will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Basilashvili is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ritschard is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basilashvili could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ritschard will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ritschard to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Carlos Taberner - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
04.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
03.06.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	August Holmgren - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLW?
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
09.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Alexander Ritschard - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
07.06.24	Alexander Ritschard - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Alexander Ritschard - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
03.06.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Ritschard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide