Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.84	Watch
	1.92	1.86
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.62)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
49.7%

Alexander Ritschard
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sumit Nagal - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 289. Ritschard is ranked ATP: 539.

Nagal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ritschard has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
30.09.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WL?WW
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Alexander Ritschard - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Alexander Ritschard	2:1

Sumit Nagal - Alexander Ritschard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide