Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4.4
	1.22	4.4	Watch
	1.21	4.1
	1.23	4.66
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.46)	4.39 ↑ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
78.3%

Benoit Paire
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benoit Paire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benoit Paire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	0%	29.2%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). Paire will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 57.9% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paire has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basilashvili is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Basilashvili won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Munich
02.05.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
01.05.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
01.05.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
29.04.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
27.04.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWW
- Benoit Paire
ATP Barcelona
19.04.21	Benoit Paire - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.21	Jordan Thompson - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
16.03.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
10.03.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
08.10.19	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Benoit Paire	2:1
ATP Metz
23.09.17	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Benoit Paire	0:2
ATP Shenzhen
27.09.16	Benoit Paire - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1
ATP Montpellier
03.02.15	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Benoit Paire	1:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide