Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.39
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.75	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)	2.27 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
58.6%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikoloz Basilashvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikoloz Basilashvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jan Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 75. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 129.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3.

Struff is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Basilashvili is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Struff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Struff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Darwin Blanch - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	James Duckworth - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Zizou Bergs - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Patrick Kypson - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
02.05.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2
ATP Cagliari
09.04.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Paris
02.11.20	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2
Exhibition International Premier League A Men
31.07.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0
ATP Dubai
26.02.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0
ATP Montreal
06.08.19	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Challenger
15.05.16	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0

Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide