Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Nishesh Basavareddy		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.63	2.37
	1.03	9.56	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.84)	3.31 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nishesh Basavareddy
68.7%

Hugo Gaston
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nishesh Basavareddy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nishesh Basavareddy's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nishesh Basavareddy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Nishesh Basavareddy - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Nishesh Basavareddy will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nishesh Basavareddy will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 192. Gaston is ranked ATP: 96.

Basavareddy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gaston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basavareddy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nishesh Basavareddy - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marat Sharipov	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Luca Sanchez	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.26	Hugo Gaston - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Hugo Gaston - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Hugo Gaston - Jannik Sinner	Gaston H. retired ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLW?L

Nishesh Basavareddy - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide