Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Hugo Gaston		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.76	2.1
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.71	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
54.5%

Christopher OConnell
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Hugo Gaston - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Christopher OConnell will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 99. OConnell is ranked ATP: 119.

Recent performances by Gaston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

OConnell is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Christopher OConnell - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Hugo Gaston - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Hugo Gaston - Jannik Sinner	Gaston H. retired ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Vit Kopriva - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 W?LWL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.22	Christopher OConnell - Hugo Gaston	3:1

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