Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Norbert Gombos		Alastair Gray

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.07	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norbert Gombos
44.8%

Alastair Gray
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norbert Gombos's form might have worsened.

Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alastair Gray's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Norbert Gombos - Alastair Gray Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gombos will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Gray will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gray: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alastair Gray will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gombos is ranked ATP: 299. Gray is ranked ATP: 284.

Gray is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Norbert Gombos - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Denis Yevseyev - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Mark Lajal - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Arthur Fery - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Stuart Parker - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
23.11.25	Alastair Gray - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Alastair Gray - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Alastair Gray - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Alastair Gray - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Alastair Gray - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

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