Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Norbert Gombos		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.84)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norbert Gombos
42.9%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norbert Gombos's form might have worsened.

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlo Alberto Caniato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norbert Gombos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Norbert Gombos - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gombos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Caniato will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gombos is ranked ATP: 295. Caniato is ranked ATP: 375.

Gombos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caniato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gombos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Norbert Gombos - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 76% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Norbert Gombos - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLL?L
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Rudolf Molleker - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Norbert Gombos - Carlo Alberto Caniato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide