Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Jacob Fearnley		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.27
	3.73	1.31
	3.34	1.30	Watch
			Watch
	3.7	1.3	Watch
	4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	1.28 ↓ (1.29)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
25.9%

Alexander Zverev
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Zverev will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zverev (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Fearnley (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Zverev (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 3 - 60%). Zverev (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zverev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fearnley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Vienna
19.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL
- Alexander Zverev
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
15.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
28.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	3:0
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev	0:3

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