Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: De Pasquale G. (Ita)


	Oleksii Krutykh		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.85	1.92
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.76	Watch
	1.81	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
50.1%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksii Krutykh's form might have worsened.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksii Krutykh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Krutykh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Recent matches Krutykh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merida Aguilar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krutykh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ITF Tournaments
17.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Antonio Caruso	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Jonas Forejtek	Canceled ✺
07.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Aldin Setkic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWL?W
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Carlos Taberner - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide