Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 March 2023, Wednesday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.65
	2.26	1.65
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.96)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
42.1%

Otto Virtanen
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksii Krutykh's form might have worsened.

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksii Krutykh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Oleksii Krutykh - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Krutykh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Virtanen will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Virtanen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Jelle Sels - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Otto Virtanen - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.23	Damir Dzumhur - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
09.02.23	Antoine Escoffier - Otto Virtanen	Virtanen O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWL?

Oleksii Krutykh - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide