Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday


	Orlando Luz		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.55	2.42
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.54	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)	2.31 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
59.9%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando Luz's performance.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Merida Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Merida Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orlando Luz - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Luz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Merida Aguilar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Lucas Gerch - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Orlando Luz - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
13.03.23	Gustavo Heide - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Nicolas Villalon - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mathias Bourgue	Bourgue M. retired ✺
20.03.23	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LLWL

Orlando Luz - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide