Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Kyrian Jacquet

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.41	3.18
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.37	2.90
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	2.93 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
67.6%

Kyrian Jacquet
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Kyrian Jacquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kyrian Jacquet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Merida Aguilar (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 59. Jacquet is ranked ATP: 134.

Merida Aguilar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jacquet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Merida Aguilar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.21%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Taro Daniel	Canceled ✺
ATP Umag
18.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?WWWW
- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Estoril
19.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Goncalo Da Rosa Castro	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
13.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Vilius Gaubas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kyrian Jacquet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide