Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: Nicolella V. (Ita)


	Oscar Jose Gutierrez		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.76	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.37)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oscar Jose Gutierrez
33.7%

Matthew Dellavedova
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oscar Jose Gutierrez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oscar Jose Gutierrez's form might have worsened.

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matthew Dellavedova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oscar Jose Gutierrez than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oscar Jose Gutierrez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gutierrez is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dellavedova is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dellavedova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dellavedova will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oscar Jose Gutierrez
ITF Tournaments
25.06.24	Andrin Casanova - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Zura Tkemaladze - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLLW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
01.07.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Alexey Zakharov	0:2 ✺
30.06.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Yannik Kelm	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.06.24	Remy Bertola - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
28.06.24	Dylan Dietrich - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
27.06.24	Timeo Gaillard - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

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