Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MUNICH (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Oscar Otte		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.4
	2.9	1.42
	3.09	1.42
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	1.42 (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oscar Otte
32.9%

Sebastian Baez
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oscar Otte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Oscar Otte - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Otte will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Otte: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Otte is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Baez is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Otte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oscar Otte
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Luca Nardi - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Oscar Otte - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Sebastian Baez - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
07.04.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Pedro Cachin - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Radu Albot - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Sebastian Baez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Oscar Otte - Sebastian Baez	1:2

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