Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Oscar Otte

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.72	2.08
	1.77	2.06
	1.76	2.09
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.74	2.01	Watch
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
53.7%

Oscar Otte
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Oscar Otte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oscar Otte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oscar Otte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Oscar Otte Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Otte will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Otte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Mariano Navone - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
29.03.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Gerard Campana Lee - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Oscar Otte
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Oscar Otte - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Laslo Djere - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Oscar Otte	Otte O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.08.18	Oscar Otte - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2

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