Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Otto Virtanen		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.5
	2.55	1.49
	2.61	1.51
	2.60	1.47	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.26	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.9)	1.51 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
37.7%

Leandro Riedi
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Otto Virtanen's form might have worsened.

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leandro Riedi's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Riedi will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Otto Virtanen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 123. Riedi is ranked ATP: 436.

Riedi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Riedi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Riedi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtanen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Nuno Borges - Otto Virtanen	Borges N. walkover ✺
10.06.25	Otto Virtanen - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Colton Smith - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Otto Virtanen - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 W?WWW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Luka Pavlovic - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Learner Tien - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Evan Bynoe - Leandro Riedi	Riedi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.02.24	Leandro Riedi - Otto Virtanen	0:2
24.03.22	Leandro Riedi - Otto Virtanen	2:0
ITF Tournaments
06.11.20	Leandro Riedi - Otto Virtanen	0:2

Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide