Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Ozan Baris		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.30	1.68
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.17	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ozan Baris
42.8%

Edas Butvilas
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ozan Baris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ozan Baris than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ozan Baris - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Baris will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Butvilas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baris is ranked ATP: 486. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 268.

Baris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Butvilas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Butvilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ozan Baris - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ozan Baris
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Ozan Baris - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.26	Ozan Baris - Vignesh Gogineni	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Johannus Monday - Ozan Baris	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Maxwell Exsted - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Oliver Bonding - Ozan Baris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Edas Butvilas - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Edas Butvilas - Clement Tabur	1:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
11.07.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLL

Ozan Baris - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide