Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Chris Rodesch

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.72	1.44
	2.81	1.42
			Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.86	1.48	Watch
	2.72	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.2)	1.46 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
34.9%

Chris Rodesch
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Carreno-Busta's form might have worsened.

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chris Rodesch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chris Rodesch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Chris Rodesch Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Rodesch will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93. Rodesch is ranked ATP: 163.

Carreno Busta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rodesch is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodesch is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Rodesch will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Denis Yevseyev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Chris Rodesch
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Marton Fucsovics - Chris Rodesch	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Mark Lajal - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Chris Rodesch - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	James McCabe - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches