Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Gauthier Onclin

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Pablo Carreno-Busta
69.4%

Gauthier Onclin
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93. Onclin is ranked ATP: 221.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carreno Busta is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Denis Yevseyev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Francisco Comesana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
26.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWL?L

Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin