Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.56	2.59
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.55)	2.48 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
61.6%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	0%	20.8%

Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 16. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 99.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Francisco Comesana	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
05.05.18	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0

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