Match Info

Date: 25 August 2021, Wednesday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Dominik Koepfer

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.26	3.9	Watch
	1.24	3.8
	1.28	4.11
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.27	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	3.93 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
75.7%

Dominik Koepfer
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominik Koepfer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	0%	15.2%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Dominik Koepfer Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Koepfer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Soon Woo Kwon	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
19.08.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
18.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.21	Novak Djokovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWW
- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.21	Marco Cecchinato - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
16.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
15.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Andreas Seppi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
27.07.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dominik Koepfer	2:0
ATP Shanghai
06.10.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dominik Koepfer	2:0

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