Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Kimmer Coppejans

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.33	3.52
	1.3	3.16	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
71.3%

Kimmer Coppejans
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Kimmer Coppejans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimmer Coppejans than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Kimmer Coppejans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Coppejans will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117. Coppejans is ranked ATP: 244.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Coppejans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carreno Busta is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Felix Gill - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Kimmer Coppejans
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Elmer Moller - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

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