Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Javier Barranco Cosano

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.55
	1.26	4.1
	1.25	3.58	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.27	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	3.65 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
74.4%

Javier Barranco Cosano
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.

Javier Barranco Cosano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Javier Barranco Cosano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Javier Barranco Cosano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Javier Barranco Cosano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barranco Cosano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 193. Barranco Cosano is ranked ATP: 373.

Llamas Ruiz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barranco Cosano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barranco Cosano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Llamas Ruiz is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Llamas Ruiz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- Javier Barranco Cosano
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Abedallah Shelbayh	Barranco Cosano J. retired ✺
09.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Demetris Azoides	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Luca Staeheli	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2
28.07.21	Javier Barranco Cosano - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0

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