Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Patrick Kypson		Colton Smith

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Patrick Kypson
57.6%

Colton Smith
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Kypson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Kypson (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kypson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Kypson is ranked ATP: 116. Smith is ranked ATP: 148.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kypson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kypson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Patrick Kypson - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Patrick Kypson - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Patrick Kypson - Francisco Comesana	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Patrick Kypson - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Michael Mmoh - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Blaise Bicknell - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Christian Langmo - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Patrick Kypson - Colton Smith