Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rei Sakamoto		Colton Smith

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.78	2.06	Watch
	1.71	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
53.5%

Colton Smith
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rei Sakamoto's performance.

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colton Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Rei Sakamoto - Colton Smith Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Smith (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 202. Smith is ranked ATP: 148.

Sakamoto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Rei Sakamoto - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Akira Santillan - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW
- Colton Smith
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Colton Smith - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Colton Smith - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Colton Smith - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Billy Harris	✺

Rei Sakamoto - Colton Smith