Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Patrick Kypson		Moise Kouame

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.27
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Kypson
56.9%

Moise Kouame
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Kypson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patrick Kypson's performance.

Moise Kouame has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moise Kouame might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrick Kypson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moise Kouame could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Patrick Kypson - Moise Kouame Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Kouame (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Moise Kouame will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moise Kouame will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kypson (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Kouame (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kypson is ranked ATP: 96. Kouame is ranked ATP: 339.

Recent form of Kypson has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kouame is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kypson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kouame will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Kypson
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Arthur Gea - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Alexei Popyrin - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Patrick Kypson - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Patrick Kypson - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Moise Kouame
ITF Tournaments
18.04.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Moise Kouame	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Francesco Ferrari - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Henry Bernet - Moise Kouame	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Moise Kouame - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

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