Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Andrey Chepelev		Moise Kouame

	1	2
			Watch
	4.23	1.23
	3.84	1.21	Watch
	4.33	1.17
	4.05	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.47)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
22.6%

Moise Kouame
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

76.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Moise Kouame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (-1%)

Andrey Chepelev - Moise Kouame Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 431. Kouame is ranked ATP: 339.

Chepelev is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kouame has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chepelev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kouame is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- Moise Kouame
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Francesco Ferrari - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Henry Bernet - Moise Kouame	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Moise Kouame - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Moise Kouame - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Moise Kouame - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW

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