Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Brandon Holt		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.46
	2.52	1.57
	2.16	1.61	Watch
	2.52	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.16)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Holt
38.4%

Rafael Jodar
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Holt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Holt than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Brandon Holt - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Holt will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Jodar will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Holt (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jodar (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Jodar (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Holt (votes: 2 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holt is ranked ATP: 112. Jodar is ranked ATP: 283.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Holt
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Brandon Holt - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Brandon Holt - Aryan Shah	Shah A. retired ✺
10.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Brandon Holt - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Brandon Holt - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?LWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

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