Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday


	Patrick Kypson		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.58
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.88)	2.63 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Kypson
64.7%

Sumit Nagal
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Kypson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patrick Kypson's performance.

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumit Nagal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrick Kypson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumit Nagal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Patrick Kypson - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kypson will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nagal will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kypson is ranked ATP: 211. Nagal is ranked ATP: 98.

Kypson is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nagal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nagal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kypson will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Patrick Kypson - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Patrick Kypson - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Patrick Kypson - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Patrick Kypson - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Patrick Kypson - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Sumit Nagal
Exhibition World Tennis League
22.12.24	Andrey Rublev - Sumit Nagal	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Sumit Nagal - Casper Ruud	0:1 ✺
20.12.24	Sumit Nagal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Edas Butvilas - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
03.11.24	Sumit Nagal - Corentin Moutet	Nagal S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LL?L?

Patrick Kypson - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide