Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Patrick Zahraj		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.49	2.63
	1.44	2.60	Watch
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Zahraj
63.3%

Erik Arutiunian
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Zahraj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patrick Zahraj's performance.

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erik Arutiunian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrick Zahraj that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erik Arutiunian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patrick Zahraj - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zahraj is ranked ATP: 243. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 547.

Zahraj is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arutiunian's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zahraj may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zahraj might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Stockholm
12.10.25	Patrick Zahraj - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Dino Prizmic - Patrick Zahraj	Prizmic D. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 L?LLW
- Erik Arutiunian
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Dante Carlos Teramo - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Max Wiskandt - Erik Arutiunian	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colson Wells - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Erik Arutiunian - Darian King	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Patrick Zahraj - Erik Arutiunian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide