Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Patrick Zahraj		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	2.04	1.8
	1.93	1.75	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.86)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Zahraj
50.2%

Matteo Martineau
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Zahraj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zahraj will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Martineau will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zahraj: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zahraj (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Martineau (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zahraj is ranked ATP: 247. Martineau is ranked ATP: 296.

Zahraj has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martineau has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zahraj may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zahraj won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Patrick Zahraj - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Martineau - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Arthur Bouquier - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.23	Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau	0:2

Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide