Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), grass - Semi-finals

Date: 28 June 2024, Friday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2


	Paul Jubb		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.96	1.79	Watch
	2	1.9
	2	1.88
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.2)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paul Jubb
48.3%

Sebastian Ofner
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paul Jubb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paul Jubb's performance.

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Ofner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paul Jubb than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.5%	0%	29.5%

Paul Jubb - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Jubb will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). Ofner will win (votes: 13 - 29.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jubb: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jubb in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ofner is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jubb could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paul Jubb
ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Ben Shelton - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Paul Jubb - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Paul Jubb - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Thiago Monteiro - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Joan Nadal - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
25.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Paul Jubb - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide