Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Paula Badosa		Aliaksandra Sasnovich

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.57	2.62
	1.44	2.72	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.51	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	2.68 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
64.2%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 100. Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 116.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Badosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Badosa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Paula Badosa - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Paula Badosa - Sinja Kraus	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Paula Badosa - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.26	Yulia Putintseva - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Renata Zarazua - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Ayla Aksu - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Kayla Day - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Sorana Cirstea - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sonay Kartal - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Abu Dhabi
02.02.26	Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2
WTA Roma
11.05.22	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Paula Badosa	0:2

Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide