Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Elena Gabriela Ruse		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	3.7	1.26
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.09	1.28
	4	1.25	Watch
	4	1.25
	4.01	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.85)	1.25 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Gabriela Ruse
23.5%

Paula Badosa
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Gabriela Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elena Gabriela Ruse's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ruse will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Badosa will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruse: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Ruse (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Ruse (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elena Gabriela Ruse will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruse (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Badosa (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ruse is ranked WTA: 80. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.

Ruse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Badosa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ruse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Badosa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ruse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Paula Badosa - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.82%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Danielle Collins - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
22.05.25	Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova	Bouzkova M. retired ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WL???

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
30.08.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa	1:2
WTA Dubai
15.02.22	Paula Badosa - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2

Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide