Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Paula Badosa		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.2	4.4
	1.22	4.3	Watch
	1.21	5.01
	1.2	4.86	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.22	4.32	Watch
	1.22	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	4.42 ↑ (3.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
78.4%

Rebecca Sramkova
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Sramkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paula Badosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Sramkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paula Badosa - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 19. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 61.

Badosa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sramkova is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sramkova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Badosa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Beijing
27.09.24	Paula Badosa - Viktoriya Tomova	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.24	Paula Badosa - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Paula Badosa - Yafan Wang	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Taylor Townsend - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Beijing
27.09.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Tamara Zidansek	Zidansek T. retired ✺
WTA Hua Hin 2
22.09.24	Laura Siegemund - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.03.19	Rebecca Sramkova - Paula Badosa	0:2

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