Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sao Paulo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	2.50	1.45
	2.70	1.48
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.84)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
35%

Mateus Alves
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mateus Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Mateus Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saraiva Dos Santos is ranked ATP: 575. Alves is ranked ATP: 449.

Saraiva Dos Santos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Alves has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saraiva Dos Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alves is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Nicolas Oliveira	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW
- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Francisco Fontes Damorim - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Mateus Alves - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Mateus Alves - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide