Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARRAKECH (MOROCCO), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Pavel Kotov		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.53
	2.39	1.51
	2.47	1.6
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.44	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.83)	1.55 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
39%

Benjamin Bonzi
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benjamin Bonzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Bonzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bonzi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bonzi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bonzi to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kotov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. retired ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Radu Albot - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 W?LWW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Marrakech
05.04.23	Alexey Vatutin - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
04.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Mikael Ymer	Canceled ✺
ATP Marseille
26.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.20	Benjamin Bonzi - Pavel Kotov	2:0
30.04.19	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2
07.08.18	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0
02.08.18	Benjamin Bonzi - Pavel Kotov	0:2

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