Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2023, Thursday


	Pavel Kotov		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.82
	2.01	1.82
	2.07	1.83
	1.91	1.91
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	1.83 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
48%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	0%	17.8%

Pavel Kotov - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (37 of 45 users predict this - 82.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.05% – 93.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Etcheverry is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Miami
21.03.23	Radu Albot - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Alex Lawson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
05.03.23	Nicolas Jarry - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Sebastian Baez - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Dusan Lajovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW

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